OH-05: Lackluster Latta Poll

With the December 11th special election to fill the seat of the late Rep. Paul Gillmor (R), we now have our first poll of the race.

Public Opinion Strategies (R) for Bob Latta (Nov. 11-12, likely voters):

Robin Weirauch (D): 36%
Bob Latta (R): 50%

Generic Democrat: 37%
Generic Republican: 45%
(MoE: ±5.2%)

This is a district that gave Bush 61% of its vote in 2004, so Latta’s 50% and especially the generic R tallies are especially underwhelming.  POS isn’t the most reputable of Republican pollsters, but the result is still interesting.  Weirauch has a tough hill to climb and not much time to do it, but Latta isn’t blowing her out of the water yet.

10 thoughts on “OH-05: Lackluster Latta Poll”

  1. of leaning overwhelmingly Republican.  Just look at some of their polling in the 2006 cycle.  Their polling was skewed up 14 points towards Republicans.  The only race they were even close to getting right was NM-01 where they had Wilson leading 48%-46% and she won 50%-50%.  One of their worst was the one in PA-07 that had Weldon leading Sestak by 52%-33%, and Sestak won 56%-44%. 

  2. in this election.  There would be no excuse for losing by two to one or more in this special election they we did in GA-10 or other special elections in Republican seats in the past. 

  3. Yeah, that’s Bob in a (wing)nutshell.

    Dumber than a brick and twice as boring.

    We needed either a Buehrer win in the primary OR for it to be too close to call and require a recount. Didn’t quite happen. The CTG has moved on and the old line GOP has closed ranks. Gillmor’s wife is making robocalls for Latta and Buehrer will eventually offer a feeble “endorsement.’ Without Ted and Sherrod on the ballot, anything over 35% is gravy.

    In 2012 there might still be a District called “OH-05” but it won’t be this one.

    And that’s first chance for this District to be in play. (Unless, it gets used to quarantine GOP voters, which could happen.)

    2. There’s plenty of room for interpretation here, but in my experience POS is the best there is for Republican pollsters. They are a huge firm, though. There’s nothing comparable in the Dem firmament. They have literally dozens and dozens of pollsters underneath their banner. Some are better than others. The office here in Colorado is very reliable and accurate.

  4. While the generic number may be OK, Latta outperforms that, even after a difficult and close primary. 

    The Latta name must carry a lot of weight in NW Ohio–Delbert Latta was household name for the GOP in the 70s and 80s.

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